Objective
Estimate the following metrics of an ongoing project for the financial modelling and due diligence process which can be presented to investors and lenders and used for decision-making purposes:
For Sale
Absorption
Project how quickly a project will sell-out
Pricing
Project pricing, and pricing increases over time
For Lease
Absorption
Project how quickly a project will absorb and the time to stabilize
Pricing
Rental values and increases over time
Opportunity
Identify the commercial potential of a subject property considering market trends and competitive advantages compared to its competitive set.
Define a compset
Forecast future demand for compset
Determine subject´s Capture Rate and Market Rent
Solution
Undertake a detailed analysis of the subject property, the direct competition, and the market to identify the main demand drivers:
Carry out an analysis of the commercial potential of the project based on its ranking
Collect, organize and analyze market information to identify main market trends at the supply and demand level, and their potential impact on the subject
Entregable
Property Analysis
A. Site
– Access
– Shape
– View / Visibility
– Zoning
B. Location
– Macro
– Micro
C. Improvements
Asset
– Type
– Class
– Technical Specs
Compset Analysis
A. Comp Selection Criteria
B. Comps Analysis
C. Classification (Best to Worst Quality)
Market Trends Analysis
A. Demand Analysis (Rents or Sales)
– By Proximity to Subject
– By Classification
B. Absorption Analysis
– Stabilized or Sold Out Projects
– Not Stabilized or In Sales Process
C. Supply Analysis (Supply vs. Occupied Space or Sales)
– By Proximity to Subject
– By Construction Date
– Future Supply Analysis
Conclusions and Recommendations (Subject)
Market Rent or Sales Values by Unit Type
Rent or Sales Growth
Construction Projection Based on Competitive Supply and Demand (if applicable)
Absorption or Sell-out (Max Rents or Sales and Shortest Absorption Time)
Occupation (Estimated Time to Reach Stabilization Threshold, According to Compset) or Projected Sell-out